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    • Model output discussion for Autumn 2018
      I thought it'd be a good opportunity to open up this model discussion thread for Autumn 2018. To start us off, this morning the models have taken a clear trend to a warm and dry start to September, may even be significantly warm at times. The diagram below is of the GFS 0z ensembles for London. The ensemble mean (white line) is well above the 30 year average (red line) for 850hPa temperatures for early September showing it's going to be quite a warm start to the month and Autumn. Precipitation spikes are very low too. Remember this is for London though and there would be regional variations especially for the rainfall. Nevertheless, looking anticyclonic and warm for early September on this morning's runs.
      • 10 replies
    • Winter 2018/19 Early Thoughts
      There's been quite a lotta chat on social media about winter already mentioning the QBO, Solar Minimum, El Nino’ in the Pacific and Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) in the Atlantic. Most, if not all look like they are going to contribute to favourable conditions.

      What are your thoughts for Winter 2018/19? ⛄ ❄️ 🌨️
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      • 50 replies

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  • Recent Posts

    • Thanks to @Sryan Bruen for the idea... how would you rate the weather so far this year? Here's mine...  January - 8/10
      February - 8/10
      March - 9/10
      April - 6/10
      May - 7/10
      June - 7/10 
      August - 5/10
      September - No idea as I was away for most of it/10 (Switzerland and Italy were lovely though! 😜) 
      October - 3/10
    • Thursday, 4 October 2018 United Kingdom Highest maximum temperature: 21.3°C at Monks Wood, Cambridgeshire Lowest maximum temperature: 10.6°C at Stornoway, Western Isles Lowest minimum temperature: 5.1°C at East Malling, Kent Wettest: 21.6mm at Resallach, Highland Sunniest: 9.9 hours at Wattisham, Suffolk Ireland Highest maximum temperature: 17.6°C at Phoenix Park, Co. Dublin Lowest maximum temperature: 13.9°C at Knock Airport, Co. Mayo Highest minimum temperature: 12.8°C at Sherkin Island, Co. Cork Lowest minimum temperature: 6.5°C at Belmullet, Co. Mayo Wettest: 11.3mm at Dunsany, Co. Meath Sunniest: 2.4 hours at Casement Aerodrome, Co. Dublin Data from UK Met Office and Met Éireann.
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